Amidst the lockdown of the NBA season, the sports card market as a whole has taken a dip. Almost every player in the league has seen decreases in their card values over the last ten days, including stars like Giannis. There’s been a lot of chatter surrounding the 2018-19 draft class, as they have mad an impact on the league already in their short careers. In this article, we’re going to look at a budget buy – the second-year guard for the Cleveland Cavaliers – Collin Sexton.
Top Ten Draft Pick
Sexton played just one year at Alabama before declaring for the NBA Draft in the spring of 2018. He was impressive in college, averaging over 19 points per game as a freshman. For many, the highlight of his college career was his 40-point performance against Minnesota, a game in which they played most of the second half with just three players! Sexton’s scoring ability at the college level led to him being taken 8th overall in the 2018 draft, behind the likes of Ayton, Bagley, Doncic, JJJ, Young, Mo Bamba, and Wendell Carter Jr. (Not a bad class!) Top ten picks certainly aren’t locks in the league, but they are typically surrounded with more hype and given a longer leash in the sports card market. Sexton’s value has been lower than it is now, but keep reading to see why we think he’s a good “budget buy”.
Two Seasons of Strong Play
In his 147 game career, Sexton has averaged 18.5 points and 3 assists per game. While those stats won’t blow you off the page, they should catch your eye for a 21-year old. Sexton’s 16.7 PPG during his rookie season put him only behind Luka (21.2 PPG) and Trae (19.1 PPG).
Worried about the assists? Sexton’s playmaking ability is continuing to develop and has shown even more since the injury of Darius Garland. In his last five games before the lockout, Sexton was averaging 30 PPG with 4.6 APG. While it’s a short window of time, it’s given Sexton, his teammates, and his new coach, JB Bickerstaff, confidence in his ability to score and create.
Investors took note of his performances, as you can see in the chart below, but his prices have dropped nearly 40% from their peak in mid-March.
Sexton’s ability to score is raved about in the organization, despite having some doubters that said he would only play a sixth-man role in the NBA.
Upon Sexton scoring 41 points on March 4th, Kevin Love said, “Got that 40. Got his first of definitely many, and he just continues to have so much confidence on that end. I think things are slowing down for him as well. He’s just the type of player that continues to get better. Nobody is going to outwork him and I think you’ve continued to see that through this year. Continues to get better.”
Bickerstaff echoed the sentiment by saying, “There’s not that many guys that have the speed that he has, the ability to finish the way that he can. The thing I was most proud of even though he got to 41, he was making the right basketball play over and over again. He created for his teammates, got his teammates open shots. When there were opportunities just to move the ball and get the hockey assist, he made those plays, too. He played an entire game on the offensive end of the floor, that’s what you’re looking for from that position, a guy that doesn’t just score but finds a way to get to get his teammates involved as well.”
It seems that the ability to score and create won’t be the limiting factor to Sexton’s success. Nor will it be his drive. It seems that the only limiting factor on Sexton at this point is being part of a winning team. If the Cavs can start to win, watch out, Sexton’s card prices will take off in a hurry!
Our Advice: Buy
Though we got around to releasing this post a bit after we would have liked, there’s still time to get in on Sexton before his values really shoot up. (We started heavily investing in Sexton in January and have continued to do so, even throughout the peak of his prices.)
Sexton’s not a sure bet over the long term, but is a flashy scorer who will capture the attention of collectors as he lights up the box score. There will be plenty of opportunities to capitalize in the future if you invest in Sexton cards now. He’s a low-budget buy that has a lot of potential for return over the coming months and years.
In our weekly Cards to Consider articles, we’ll offer our speculation of the card market by looking into various factors surrounding players from each sport. If you’d like to follow on Facebook or get these weekly articles to your inbox, we’d be happy to have you sign up and follow along!